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AI will match humans intelligence by 2062, expert says

Artificial Intelligence (AI) will match humans on traits like adaptability, creativity and emotional intelligence by 2062, Scientia Professor Toby Walsh has predicted.

Toby Walsh at the Festival of Dangerous Ideas. Photo by Yaya Stempler

Speaking at the Festival of Dangerous Ideas at the University of New South Wales in Sydney (UNSW) on Sunday, Walsh stretched that we are already experiencing the looming risks of artificial intelligence.

“Even without machines that are very smart,” Walsh said, “I’m starting to get a little bit nervous about where it’s going and the important choices we should be making”.

Referring to Walsh’s speech, UNSW said in a statement the professor had “put a date on this looming reality.

“He considers 2062 the year that artificial intelligence will match human intelligence,” the statement reads, “although a fundamental shift has already occurred in the world as we know it.”

Matters concerning privacy, for example, are already profoundly affecting the world where we live in, said Walsh quoting the Cambridge Analytica scandal.

“A lot of the debate has focused on how personal information was stolen from people, and we should be rightly outraged by that.

“Many of us have smartwatches that are monitoring our vital signs; our blood pressure, our heartbeat, and if you look at the terms of service, you don’t own that data,” Walsh explained.

“You can lie about your digital preferences, but you can’t lie about your heartbeat.”

Walsh also warned about the ethical consequences of AI and machine accountability.

Fully autonomous machines will radically change the nature of warfare and will be the third revolution in warfare,” he said.

Walsh believes the problem lies in creating machines that are based on human values, which already proved to be problematic in other AI applications.

“Facebook is an example of the alignment problem; it is optimised for your attention, not for creating political debate or for making society a better place,” Walsh said.

But the Professor, who recently wrote a book entitled “2062: The World that AI Made”, also added that instead of being supporting technological determinism we should push for societal determinism, making sure that we build dependable systems with clear lines of accountability.

“The future is not fixed. There is this idea that technology is going to shape our future and that we are going to have to deal with it, but this is the wrong picture to think of because society gets to push back and change the technology.”

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